Data and charts for figures of CSIRO's 'Modelling Sectoral Technology and Emissions Pathways to 2035 and Net Zero Emissions - Final Report'
To assist the Australian Government in developing a national net zero emissions by 2050 plan, the parliament requested that the Climate Change Authority undertake a review of the potential technology transition and emissions pathways in six sectors – electricity and energy, industry and resources, transport, land and agriculture, waste, and the built environment.
The six modelling scenarios analysed in this report were designed by the authority in consultation with CSIRO. The modelling undertaken by CSIRO examined six scenarios reflecting four levels of domestic decarbonisation ambition (A50, A45, A40, A35) with net-zero years ranging from 2050 to 2035, each with a corresponding level of emissions in 2035 as indicated in Table 1. The domestic scenarios were modelled under different global climate ambition settings of 2°C and 1.5°C (G2 and G1.5) to explore the macroeconomic, sectoral and environmental impact for Australia with different combinations of domestic and global ambition. Two additional sensitivity scenarios were modelled to investigate the impact of lower renewable uptake and are implemented as an upper limit (the “+RL” or “+Renewable Limit” scenarios).